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Birth rates fall most where home prices rise fastest

San Diego, Los. Angeles make the case

Choosing house over kids (click to enlarge)

“Birth rates are dropping most in counties with the fastest-appreciating home values,” says Zillow.com.

Reason: “Quickly rising home prices are likely contributing to couples deciding to hold off having kids — most want to be financially stable before becomiing parents,” says the real estate research firm.

San Diego and Los Angeles are the best examples, says Zillow. In 2016 in San Diego, 1,148 fewer babies were born than expected. In Los Angeles, the shortfall was 2,588 babies. Between 2010 and 2016, San Diego home prices rose 34 percent and Los Angeles prices rose 31 percent. The drop in the birth rate in those years was 19 percent in San Diego and 17 percent in Los Angeles.

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Choosing house over kids (click to enlarge)

“Birth rates are dropping most in counties with the fastest-appreciating home values,” says Zillow.com.

Reason: “Quickly rising home prices are likely contributing to couples deciding to hold off having kids — most want to be financially stable before becomiing parents,” says the real estate research firm.

San Diego and Los Angeles are the best examples, says Zillow. In 2016 in San Diego, 1,148 fewer babies were born than expected. In Los Angeles, the shortfall was 2,588 babies. Between 2010 and 2016, San Diego home prices rose 34 percent and Los Angeles prices rose 31 percent. The drop in the birth rate in those years was 19 percent in San Diego and 17 percent in Los Angeles.

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Comments
26

Who has time for intimacy if a couple is working their rears off to make the mortgage/rent payment, pay for two new car leases, and go to sleep each night knowing they are a paycheck away from disaster. Best to you Don.

June 7, 2018

the only entertainment they can afford ?

June 7, 2018

Murphyjunk: It may be the only entertainment they can afford, but it is by far the most satisfying entertainment. Best, Don Bauder

June 7, 2018

until the bills come in all too soon.

June 7, 2018

a lack of fund ain't stopping that groove thang baby yeah yeah

June 7, 2018

shirleyberan: No funds, no fun? Best, Don Bauder

June 7, 2018

Murphyjunk: Bills? This kind of entertainment comes first. Best, Don Bauder

June 7, 2018

Come on now. There's ALWAYS time for that.

June 8, 2018

Darren: Excellent point. San Diego's population goes up slightly each year, but mainly because of in-migration, not babies. Best, Don Bauder

June 7, 2018

Maybe more educated use birth control methods, time to create opportunity to buy real estate in desirable neighborhoods OR there's more men who say they hate hookers but really love them in those urban areas. (haha)

June 8, 2018

shirleyberan: It is a defensible generality that more intelligent people use some kind of birth control method, although some deeply religious people could be an exception. Best, Don Bauder

June 12, 2018

don bauder, Some would say that that it is a defensible generality that highly intelligent people and deeply religious people tend to be mutually exclusive.

June 12, 2018

shirleyberan: My guess is that the more educated women and men are, the more likely they are to use birth control methods. I will bet there data on that. Best, Don Bauder

June 8, 2018

Most, if not all, countries that value education have lower birth rates. Countries that are poor and where education is not valued the birth rate is higher as is the infant mortality rate. Education is the key.

June 9, 2018

AlexClarke: I never should have used the words "I guess." Of course the countries whose citizens are better educated use birth control more. Much research has been done on that. Best, Don Bauder

June 9, 2018

A local gentleman, Robert Klark Graham, had an unusual attitude toward reproduction. (He's the guy who created the Repository for Germinal Choice (Nobel Sperm Bank).) He used to preach and advertise this phrase "The more intelligent you are, the more children you should have."

A Slate writer called him a eugenicist. "Part altruism, part social engineering, part science experiment, the repository was supposed to help reverse the genetic decay Graham saw all around him by preserving and multiplying the best genes of his generation. By the time Graham's repository closed in 1999, his genius sperm had been responsible for more than 200 children."

June 9, 2018

swell: I will never forget when one of the greatest economists of the 20th century, Milton Friedman, visited San Diego. A TV newsman asked him if he had donated to the sperm bank. He laughed and said he hadn't even been asked. Best, Don Bauder

June 9, 2018

I really liked Mr Friedman's free market ideas. Unfortunately all the corporations have consolidated and convinced Washington that they need welfare. There is no more free market. Try to choose your cable provider or energy supplier.

June 11, 2018

swell: Corporations get so much government welfare that free market capitalism has been severely eroded. Best, Don Bauder

June 16, 2018

Stories like this always make me think of the Mike Judge movie "Idiocracy." That movie was a vision into the future. President Camacho anyone?

June 9, 2018

mb121: I haven't seen that movie. Sounds like a good one. Best, Don Bauder

June 9, 2018

Can't remember if I've seen it but I like those actors, Wiki says about a future president who's not qualified, dystopia, good instincts Judge and mb121, gonna look for it.

June 9, 2018

shirleyberan: What's the use of a movie when we are living it now? Best, Don Baudere

June 10, 2018

If you've never seen it, stream "The President's Analyst" (1967), a brilliant spy satire about paranoia, world affairs and a Presidential shrink on the lam.

June 11, 2018

dwbat: Sounds intriguing. Best, Don Bauder

June 11, 2018

It "sounds intriguing" because it IS! Watching it is even better.

June 16, 2018

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