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California homes less likely to sink in sea

Florida most at risk from rising ocean levels

If the consensus of climate scientists is correct, almost two million United States homes will be underwater by the year 2100, according to Zillow.com. (This is actually underwater, not financially underwater.)

Only 0.4 percent of California homes will be underwater by 2100, according to Zillow. However, the median value of those homes at risk of being victims of rising sea levels is $891,269, the highest in the nation.

More than half the homes that would sink into a rising sea are in Florida, says Zillow: 12.6 percent of homes in that state are at risk. Hawaii is second at 9.1 percent and New Jersey third at 7.3 percent.

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If the consensus of climate scientists is correct, almost two million United States homes will be underwater by the year 2100, according to Zillow.com. (This is actually underwater, not financially underwater.)

Only 0.4 percent of California homes will be underwater by 2100, according to Zillow. However, the median value of those homes at risk of being victims of rising sea levels is $891,269, the highest in the nation.

More than half the homes that would sink into a rising sea are in Florida, says Zillow: 12.6 percent of homes in that state are at risk. Hawaii is second at 9.1 percent and New Jersey third at 7.3 percent.

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Comments
28

Levees and dikes. There's a lot of expensive real estate out there.

Aug. 2, 2016

MichaelValentine: Yes, but think of the expense of erecting the levees and dikes. It could be a lot more than the value of these homes, especially since we are talking about the year 2100, when those homes will be pretty old.

What interests me is this: when do the monetary values of those homes start to go down? Maybe the year 2050? Best, Don Bauder

Aug. 2, 2016

One word, Venice. Float them or put them on sticks it's hard to beat the ocean view when you're bobbing up and down on it. Best to you too, Mike.

Aug. 4, 2016

MichaelValentine: In re Venice: once you are well above the water on sticks, how do you avoid water pollution under you? Best, Don Bauder

Aug. 5, 2016

Those homes in Florida, not much of a loss. I plan on being underground by 2100 so underwater isn't too much of a concern for me.

Aug. 2, 2016

FlbrkMike: Arrange to have yourself buried in Nebraska. Then your coffin won't get damaged by advancing sea water. Best, Don Bauder

Aug. 2, 2016

At 600 ft above sea level in Fallbrook I think I'm pretty safe, but I might lose my burial plot at Mission San Luis Rey.

Aug. 4, 2016

FlbrMike: Good logic. But tell me this: if you are dead and buried, how will you know that you made a good decision selecting your burial plot? Best, Don Bauder

Aug. 4, 2016

Why would you care? Best to have your ashes spread on the waters so you rise with the ocean.

Aug. 4, 2016

MichaelValentine: Spreading ashes around has its downside, too. Some time ago I wrote about a country club whose members complained that the green on the 18th hole was extremely slow. Members' putts would always fail to reach the hole by several yards.

The country club sent sleuths to figure out the problem. They concluded that so many dead members had had their ashes spread on the green that putting had become extremely difficult. Best, Don Bauder

Aug. 5, 2016

Didn't Edgar Cayce write that he had a look into the future and half the US was under water because, apparently, the big volcano blew out at Yellowstone?! Lots of theories out there...Florida officials in some coastal towns and villages have been having meetings and planning groups on what action to take short and long term to plan for the inevitable fact that much of Florida will be under water in the future.

Aug. 2, 2016

SportsFan0000: Seldom do humans think very far in the future. And seldom will they make economic sacrifices now to render comfort and safety to those who will be alive 50 years from now.

Floridians trying to get some defenses erected won't get far with the public except in those towns right on or near the coast, that will be threatened within the next few years. Best, Don Bauder

Aug. 2, 2016

The closer you are to water (beach, river, lake, etc.) the more expensive the real estate and the higher risk of flooding. Proof that people will buy anything. If the sea rises and Mission Valley fills up I will have waterfront property. If it doesn't happen soon I will be taking a dirt nap. Humans don't plan ahead because we have such a brief time on earth so we live in the here and now.

Aug. 3, 2016

AlexClarke: Yes, but suppose that some scientist comes up with a way to extend the average life out to 200 years. Wouldn't those on earth still live in the here and now? I think so. Best, Don Bauder

Aug. 3, 2016

"Yes, but think of the expense of erecting the levees and dikes."

If you are rich and powerful enough you can get the Army Corps of Engineers to do the job at taxpayer expense. Celebrity Californians can have them stop cliff erosion while they are at it.

Aug. 3, 2016

swell: If much of the U.S. were threatened by advancing water, the Army Corps of Engineers would attempt -- emphasis on "attempt" -- to thwart the flow without being bribed by rich coastal Californians. Best, Don Bauder

Aug. 3, 2016

Mike Murphy: Never mind Lakeside. Consider beach front property in Phoenix. Best, Don Bauder

Aug. 3, 2016

It is striking to witness how much sand has been stripped off the beaches of LJ Shores and Blacks Beach. It won't be that long of a time period before the shops and restaurants on Avenida De La Playa and the LJ Beach and Tennis Club become the latest artificial reefs to dive on.

Aug. 3, 2016

Rocket_J_Squirrel: I would hate seeing all those tennis balls floating out to sea. Best, Don Bauder

Aug. 4, 2016

"If the consensus of climate scientists is correct, almost two million United States homes will be underwater by the year 2100"

Sorry to nitpick but if I read the article correctly I think that statement is a bit of an misinterpretation of the data. The Zillow study is based on the WORST CASE projections of the scientific community which are about a 6 ft rise in sea level https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2016/03/30/antarctic-loss-could-double-expected-sea-level-rise-by-2100-scientists-say/?utm_term=.028328d1fb67

The mid level projections (i.e. what the scientific community's best estimate is right now) are "only" about 2 feet. Which is still a big problem but would result in a smaller number of homes and economic impact than the Zillow analysis based on the worst case expectations. Of course, if there is no reduction in the trajectory of greenhouse gas emissions we may end up in the worst case scenario.

Aug. 3, 2016

ImJustABill: Zillow says the sea level "could" rise by 6 feet by 2100. Best, Don Bauder

Aug. 4, 2016

There goes Coronado.

Aug. 3, 2016

Ponzi: But military facilities on the East Coast would likely sink in the sea sooner than Coronado would. Best, Don Bauder

Aug. 4, 2016

Time to invest in Siberia for the (to be) moderate climate?

Aug. 4, 2016

ImJustABill: Siberia could be the next San Diego -- mild weather all year long. At that point, San Diego would be one of the hottest hell holes in the world. Best, Don Bauder

Aug. 4, 2016

Alex, get any flotation device ready if you're in mission valley or fashion. Midwest rain could be here any year.

Aug. 4, 2016

shirleyberan: Mission Valley development has always been questionable. You have given us another reason to ponder that. Best, Don Bauder

Aug. 4, 2016

Thomas Weller: The coffins in Alpine are more likely to stay dry than those in National City. Best, Don Bauder

Aug. 5, 2016

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