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Republicans touting April poll supporting DeMaio's Congressional bid

The National Republican Congressional Committee is touting polling data in a letter to its members that seems to indicate a10-point lead among voters for Carl DeMaio, who announced last week that he would challenge Democrat Scott Peters for California’s 52nd Congressional seat in 2014.

“Recent polling in targeted districts shows that Democrat incumbents are weakly positioned as a result of our recruitment successes, offensive strategy, and a political climate unfavorable to Democrats. Even in Democrat-leaning districts, voters are looking to Republican candidates,” reads the June 4 e-mail.

The poll in question, performed in April by The Tarrance Group, self-described as a “respected and successful Republican strategic research and polling firm,” contacted 404 likely voters in the district and first told them that DeMaio was openly gay and would focus on fixing the country’s finances instead of social issues. Voters were then asked whether they were likely to vote for DeMaio or Peters.

Result: DeMaio 49 percent, Peters 39 percent.

Next year’s election promises to be another expensive battle for both parties. Peters reported raising $258,000 in the first quarter of 2013 and sits on a war chest of $220,000. DeMaio, while fresh to the race, was able to drum up $1.8 million just to get through the mayoral primaries last year. In 2012, Peters ended up raising over $4.3 million, which was used to combat incumbent Brian Bilbray, himself spending more than $2.5 million on the campaign.

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The National Republican Congressional Committee is touting polling data in a letter to its members that seems to indicate a10-point lead among voters for Carl DeMaio, who announced last week that he would challenge Democrat Scott Peters for California’s 52nd Congressional seat in 2014.

“Recent polling in targeted districts shows that Democrat incumbents are weakly positioned as a result of our recruitment successes, offensive strategy, and a political climate unfavorable to Democrats. Even in Democrat-leaning districts, voters are looking to Republican candidates,” reads the June 4 e-mail.

The poll in question, performed in April by The Tarrance Group, self-described as a “respected and successful Republican strategic research and polling firm,” contacted 404 likely voters in the district and first told them that DeMaio was openly gay and would focus on fixing the country’s finances instead of social issues. Voters were then asked whether they were likely to vote for DeMaio or Peters.

Result: DeMaio 49 percent, Peters 39 percent.

Next year’s election promises to be another expensive battle for both parties. Peters reported raising $258,000 in the first quarter of 2013 and sits on a war chest of $220,000. DeMaio, while fresh to the race, was able to drum up $1.8 million just to get through the mayoral primaries last year. In 2012, Peters ended up raising over $4.3 million, which was used to combat incumbent Brian Bilbray, himself spending more than $2.5 million on the campaign.

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Comments
3

Polls, schmolls! Some had predicted DeMaio would defeat Filner.

June 7, 2013

Andy Cohen over at San Diego Free Press actually dug up a U-T poll (unrelated to this one) that had DeMaio beating Filner by the same 10 point margin two weeks before the election when DeMaio announced his latest candidacy...

June 7, 2013

Ah, these crafty GOP worms are at it again. Let me see, first that other guy changed parties to get the mayor seat. Smart, but very stupid, Peters just got the seat that the other GOP stalwart, (Bilbray) couldn't lie his way into. When is this unaccessible rich man's club going to wake up? What honestly scares me is what wealthy person with, 1.Deep pockets & 2.Their own agenda, will jump at the chance to fund the run. Wake up Carl, we're tired of business as usual candidates. Okay, you did well at city hall, but we still voted in Filner, didn't we? Get a clue. But don't change parties!

June 7, 2013

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