4S Ranch Allied Gardens Alpine Baja Balboa Park Bankers Hill Barrio Logan Bay Ho Bay Park Black Mountain Ranch Blossom Valley Bonita Bonsall Borrego Springs Boulevard Campo Cardiff-by-the-Sea Carlsbad Carmel Mountain Carmel Valley Chollas View Chula Vista City College City Heights Clairemont College Area Coronado CSU San Marcos Cuyamaca College Del Cerro Del Mar Descanso Downtown San Diego Eastlake East Village El Cajon Emerald Hills Encanto Encinitas Escondido Fallbrook Fletcher Hills Golden Hill Grant Hill Grantville Grossmont College Guatay Harbor Island Hillcrest Imperial Beach Imperial Valley Jacumba Jamacha-Lomita Jamul Julian Kearny Mesa Kensington La Jolla Lakeside La Mesa Lemon Grove Leucadia Liberty Station Lincoln Acres Lincoln Park Linda Vista Little Italy Logan Heights Mesa College Midway District MiraCosta College Miramar Miramar College Mira Mesa Mission Beach Mission Hills Mission Valley Mountain View Mount Hope Mount Laguna National City Nestor Normal Heights North Park Oak Park Ocean Beach Oceanside Old Town Otay Mesa Pacific Beach Pala Palomar College Palomar Mountain Paradise Hills Pauma Valley Pine Valley Point Loma Point Loma Nazarene Potrero Poway Rainbow Ramona Rancho Bernardo Rancho Penasquitos Rancho San Diego Rancho Santa Fe Rolando San Carlos San Marcos San Onofre Santa Ysabel Santee San Ysidro Scripps Ranch SDSU Serra Mesa Shelltown Shelter Island Sherman Heights Skyline Solana Beach Sorrento Valley Southcrest South Park Southwestern College Spring Valley Stockton Talmadge Temecula Tierrasanta Tijuana UCSD University City University Heights USD Valencia Park Valley Center Vista Warner Springs

Does it feel as if San Diego crime is down?

Police numbers vs. NextDoor and Facebook

On March 10, the San Diego Police Department posted an online graphic of their 2020 Annual Crime Statistics stating that overall crime was lower by 8.4 percent throughout the city of San Diego. The department broke down the numbers of each crime: burglary dropped 6.2 percent; vehicle theft dropped 4.2 percent; rape dropped 13.5 percent; robbery dropped 10.3 percent.

".....There's no way theft is lower by 12.9 percent," John S. opined. "Did they not count the porch pirates stealing Amazon packages? My Otay Mesa West neighbors complain daily on NextDoor about stolen packages."

In John's south San Diego neighborhood — which is bordered by the 805, 905, and 5 freeways, and south of Chula Vista — there were 120 theft/larceny reports made from January 2020 to December 2020, according to the ARJIS UCR [Automated Regional Justice Information System Uniform Crime Reporting] study. Of the 120 thefts, 57 were valued at more than $400, while 63 were less than $400. The automated report was posted on the SanDiego.gov website on March 16; it breaks down the numbers of crime types reported in each San Diego neighborhood.

"On our NextDoor app, I'd see 10-15 porch pirate reports in a week alone," John continued. "We would pass that 120 [2020 theft/larceny number] in three slow months. Maybe, most of our neighbors don't report their stolen packages to the police, and claim [a refund or a replaced product] directly through Amazon, PayPal, eBay, or the credit card companies."

On a 2019 UCR search of theft/larceny reports in John's neighborhood, 143 reports were made.

"There were 23 fewer theft/larceny reports in 2020 as compared to 2019?" questioned Steve H., John's friend.

"I don't think vehicle theft is down 4.2 percent either," Steve continued, "not to mention catalytic converter thefts. Both [types of] crimes seem more apparent on Facebook and NextDoor, or it could be that we were online more since the March 2020 lockdown."

According to the UCR report, in 2020, Otay Mesa West had 115 reported auto thefts. Pacific Beach had the highest reported auto thefts in the city at 216; San Ysidro followed at 214.

"I'd guess rape was down as bars were closed most of the year," commented a Golden Hill dweller on NextDoor. "So much of the year we couldn't go out to bars, or the hours were limited, and drinking-based events were canceled."

On the UCR report, there were 485 rape reports throughout the city; the East Village neighborhood had the highest number of accounts at 24.

Also, on the 2020 Annual Crime Statistics graphic posted: aggravated assault increased by 9.1 percent, and the murder rate increased by 10 percent — according to the UCR report, there were a reported 56 murders in the city of San Diego.

Here's something you might be interested in.
Submit a free classified
or view all

Previous article

One Season Brewing debuts within TRVLR Coffee

There’s kombucha, electric skateboards, and bicycles for sale too
Next Article

ConcertsCafe launches with consumable merch

“Our plan is to mix it up a bit and provide artists a revenue channel”

On March 10, the San Diego Police Department posted an online graphic of their 2020 Annual Crime Statistics stating that overall crime was lower by 8.4 percent throughout the city of San Diego. The department broke down the numbers of each crime: burglary dropped 6.2 percent; vehicle theft dropped 4.2 percent; rape dropped 13.5 percent; robbery dropped 10.3 percent.

".....There's no way theft is lower by 12.9 percent," John S. opined. "Did they not count the porch pirates stealing Amazon packages? My Otay Mesa West neighbors complain daily on NextDoor about stolen packages."

In John's south San Diego neighborhood — which is bordered by the 805, 905, and 5 freeways, and south of Chula Vista — there were 120 theft/larceny reports made from January 2020 to December 2020, according to the ARJIS UCR [Automated Regional Justice Information System Uniform Crime Reporting] study. Of the 120 thefts, 57 were valued at more than $400, while 63 were less than $400. The automated report was posted on the SanDiego.gov website on March 16; it breaks down the numbers of crime types reported in each San Diego neighborhood.

"On our NextDoor app, I'd see 10-15 porch pirate reports in a week alone," John continued. "We would pass that 120 [2020 theft/larceny number] in three slow months. Maybe, most of our neighbors don't report their stolen packages to the police, and claim [a refund or a replaced product] directly through Amazon, PayPal, eBay, or the credit card companies."

On a 2019 UCR search of theft/larceny reports in John's neighborhood, 143 reports were made.

"There were 23 fewer theft/larceny reports in 2020 as compared to 2019?" questioned Steve H., John's friend.

"I don't think vehicle theft is down 4.2 percent either," Steve continued, "not to mention catalytic converter thefts. Both [types of] crimes seem more apparent on Facebook and NextDoor, or it could be that we were online more since the March 2020 lockdown."

According to the UCR report, in 2020, Otay Mesa West had 115 reported auto thefts. Pacific Beach had the highest reported auto thefts in the city at 216; San Ysidro followed at 214.

"I'd guess rape was down as bars were closed most of the year," commented a Golden Hill dweller on NextDoor. "So much of the year we couldn't go out to bars, or the hours were limited, and drinking-based events were canceled."

On the UCR report, there were 485 rape reports throughout the city; the East Village neighborhood had the highest number of accounts at 24.

Also, on the 2020 Annual Crime Statistics graphic posted: aggravated assault increased by 9.1 percent, and the murder rate increased by 10 percent — according to the UCR report, there were a reported 56 murders in the city of San Diego.

Sponsored
Here's something you might be interested in.
Submit a free classified
or view all
Previous article

Old Joe and the Border Boys

Now playing in wide release!
Next Article

Over 85 percent of fentanyl seizures at San Diego border

Sempra greases palms of local chamber, convention bureau, San Diego Taxpayers Association
Comments
2

Percentages mean nothing unless the numbers are attached. I remember a headline in a local paper that screamed "Murder rate doubles" and "Murders rate is up 100%" in actuality there was one murder the year before and two murders the following year thus the headlines. A 10% increase or decrease means nothing unless you know the underlying numbers. Also the numbers and percentages are based on reported crimes. Many crimes go unreported especially property crimes.

April 2, 2021

I agree with Alex. Crime stats don't mean anything unless numbers are attached. And for those of you who keep posting on Facebook or Next Door (crimes in your neighborhood) all you're doing is drawing more crime into your neighborhood. You're not helping your neighbors. You're helping criminals who "do it for a living." Be careful what you post. You never know who is reading.

April 2, 2021

Sign in to comment

Sign in

Art Reviews — W.S. Di Piero's eye on exhibits Ask a Hipster — Advice you didn't know you needed Best Buys — San Diego shopping Big Screen — Movie commentary Blurt — Music's inside track Booze News — San Diego spirits City Lights — News and politics Classical Music — Immortal beauty Classifieds — Free and easy Cover Stories — Front-page features Excerpts — Literary and spiritual excerpts Famous Former Neighbors — Next-door celebs Feast! — Food & drink reviews Feature Stories — Local news & stories From the Archives — Spotlight on the past Golden Dreams — Talk of the town Here's the Deal — Chad Deal's watering holes Just Announced — The scoop on shows Letters — Our inbox [email protected] — Local movie buffs share favorites Movie Reviews — Our critics' picks and pans Musician Interviews — Up close with local artists Neighborhood News from Stringers — Hyperlocal news News Ticker — News & politics Obermeyer — San Diego politics illustrated Of Note — Concert picks Out & About — What's Happening Overheard in San Diego — Eavesdropping illustrated Poetry — The old and the new Pour Over — Grab a cup Reader Travel — Travel section built by travelers Reading — The hunt for intellectuals Roam-O-Rama — SoCal's best hiking/biking trails San Diego Beer — Inside San Diego suds SD on the QT — Almost factual news Drinks All Around — Bartenders' drink recipes Sheep and Goats — Places of worship Special Issues — The best of Sports — Athletics without gush Street Style — San Diego streets have style Suit Up — Fashion tips for dudes Theater Reviews — Local productions Theater antireviews — Narrow your search Tin Fork — Silver spoon alternative Under the Radar — Matt Potter's undercover work Unforgettable — Long-ago San Diego Unreal Estate — San Diego's priciest pads Waterfront — All things ocean Your Week — Daily event picks
4S Ranch Allied Gardens Alpine Baja Balboa Park Bankers Hill Barrio Logan Bay Ho Bay Park Black Mountain Ranch Blossom Valley Bonita Bonsall Borrego Springs Boulevard Campo Cardiff-by-the-Sea Carlsbad Carmel Mountain Carmel Valley Chollas View Chula Vista City College City Heights Clairemont College Area Coronado CSU San Marcos Cuyamaca College Del Cerro Del Mar Descanso Downtown San Diego Eastlake East Village El Cajon Emerald Hills Encanto Encinitas Escondido Fallbrook Fletcher Hills Golden Hill Grant Hill Grantville Grossmont College Guatay Harbor Island Hillcrest Imperial Beach Imperial Valley Jacumba Jamacha-Lomita Jamul Julian Kearny Mesa Kensington La Jolla Lakeside La Mesa Lemon Grove Leucadia Liberty Station Lincoln Acres Lincoln Park Linda Vista Little Italy Logan Heights Mesa College Midway District MiraCosta College Miramar Miramar College Mira Mesa Mission Beach Mission Hills Mission Valley Mountain View Mount Hope Mount Laguna National City Nestor Normal Heights North Park Oak Park Ocean Beach Oceanside Old Town Otay Mesa Pacific Beach Pala Palomar College Palomar Mountain Paradise Hills Pauma Valley Pine Valley Point Loma Point Loma Nazarene Potrero Poway Rainbow Ramona Rancho Bernardo Rancho Penasquitos Rancho San Diego Rancho Santa Fe Rolando San Carlos San Marcos San Onofre Santa Ysabel Santee San Ysidro Scripps Ranch SDSU Serra Mesa Shelltown Shelter Island Sherman Heights Skyline Solana Beach Sorrento Valley Southcrest South Park Southwestern College Spring Valley Stockton Talmadge Temecula Tierrasanta Tijuana UCSD University City University Heights USD Valencia Park Valley Center Vista Warner Springs
Close