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A new Survey USA poll commissioned by KGTV San Diego is being touted by Carl DeMaio campaign manager Ryan Clumpner as “damning evidence that Bob Filner's latest attempt to smear Carl DeMaio has backfired.” The statement was made in a fund-raising e-mail sent to supporters this morning.

The poll questions focus on last weekend’s now-infamous Balboa Park water gun fight and the ensuing damage to the lily pond in front of the Botanical Building, as well as DeMaio opponent Bob Filner’s attempt to draw a connection between DeMaio and the damage.

Filner’s accusations are based on the fact that DeMaio’s partner Johnathan Hale operates a news site, SDGLN.com, that had promoted the water fight, which was arranged by an employee of Hale.

The exact accusation, excerpted from a Voice of San Diego article that casts doubt on the validity of Filner’s statement: “This is felony vandalism of the Crown Jewel of San Diego. Carl deMaio's (sic) partner reportedly helped to organize it. I call on Carl to condemn Jonathan (sic) Hale's criminal actions. I think voters should be concerned about someone like this playing a significant role in the next mayoral administration.”

According to the poll, which questioned 700 San Diego adults, 66 percent were aware of the water gun fight and ensuing damage, while 61 percent of those respondents were aware that Filner “has accused Mayor candidate Carl DeMaio’s partner of helping to promote the fight.”

Of the 282 respondents remaining familiar with both the incident and Filner’s comments, 51 percent said his allegation that Hale was involved in promoting the event (not the assertion that doing so was a criminal act) was unfair. Half of these respondents said the events of the last few days would have no impact on their vote, with the other 50 percent responding it would have either a minor or major impact on them.

At the end of the survey, those questioned were asked whether the incident had caused them to change their intended vote. 37 percent of respondents said they had supported and continued to support Filner, for DeMaio this number was 30 percent. Fifteen percent said they’d decided to switch from supporting Filner to backing DeMaio, and 9 percent indicated they planned to ditch DeMaio for Filner. Nine percent said they were undecided, with the final survey questions having a margin of error of six percent.

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Comments

Dennis Aug. 15, 2012 @ 11:17 a.m.

You really have to question the validity of any of these polls. Almost no one answers the phone these days without screening the call first and many have already ditched their land lines for cell phones. That leaves people who have nothing better to do than respond to the hundreds of poll conducted every day during election season.

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monaghan Aug. 15, 2012 @ 11:38 a.m.

The question here is not about another mind-numbing poll of whoever answers their land-line these August days, it's about who is Jonathan Hale and what does he do for a living beside having his Gay & Lesbian News newspaper sponsor notices about wilding in Balboa Park? And since when is anything in the anti-Filner Voice of San Diego taken as the basis for the true public record?

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Visduh Aug. 15, 2012 @ 11:39 a.m.

Once again, when I saw the headline, I thought it was a blog from Mencken. This sort of stuff is just off the wall. The SDPD dropped the ball again, and now claims that they didn't get a single call while that melee was going on. Are we sure that Kolender isn't the police chief again? That sort of muddled priorities was the characteristic of his tenure as chief.

Filner, for a guy his age, sure can go off fast. Instead of the generally-unsubstantiated connection to DeMaio's partner, he could have lamented that there was even a slight connection to his opponent. If that is how Bob expects to win elections, I'd not want him in the chair.

Telephone polling is getting to be more unreliable all the time. I'm constantly getting calls from "research firms", and just blow them off. Too many aren't doing legitimate research at all, and more likely are fishing for sales leads, or may be actually phishing. Who needs it?

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jv333 Aug. 15, 2012 @ 6:39 p.m.

The main places whe this event was promoted were via social media ... The relevant Facebook pages have mysteriously disappeared. One of the main organizers does or did have a close relationship with DeMaio's lover and/or his publication. Filner and the Mayor...and indeed all San Diegans who take pride our city should be asking questions as to whom might be responsible.

Do we just send the bill for repairs to the taxpayers and forget about it? Ignore it all together? No one is saying that the event was planned with the intent of destroying the pond and killing koi...but the fact is the damned thing went out of control and people should be accountable.

The friend of Hale and DeMaio who was one of the key organizers delete his personal Facebook account. Why? The Facebook event page has also been deleted. Why?

And we certainly know that if this was a Filner-related event that went awry, the shrill, testy, dramatic, diva DeMaio would be squealing about it into every camera and microphone that he could find.

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NoGods Aug. 15, 2012 @ 7:49 p.m.

I have never voted for a Republican in my 45 years of voting. This history will change this year when I vote for DeMaio. Filner teetered on the edge of inciting anti-gay reactions relating to the Lily Pond incident and the gay connection to the squirt gun event. Filner also missed more than one vote in the Congress on legislation that included anti-gay items. He didn't field his own contingent during Gay Pride Parade. And now he chooses to put the local gay community in a bad light before the voters in San Diego. If I had been polled, my responses would have reflected my knowledge about the incident, about Filner's choice to bring up the gay connection in an effort to smear DeMaio, and that I would now change my lifetime voting pattern and vote for a Republican and not Filner.

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jv333 Aug. 15, 2012 @ 8:26 p.m.

NoGods .... you clearly sound like a "DeMaio operative" ..... We all know how that game works .... there some key words and phrases that give u away .... Nice try ....

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Hardcover Aug. 16, 2012 @ 11:35 a.m.

Yes, clearly a fake letter from NoGoods. Anyone who thinks Filner is the anti-gay one in this election has been asleep for the past few years, and certainly didn't attend the Pride Parade, the debate at the Uptown Center, or other events like this. Obviously a post from a DeMaio staffer: there is no way a lifelong Democrat would vote for DeMaio. He, at best, would sit out that vote.

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jamespreston1987 Aug. 16, 2012 @ 10:26 p.m.

Ken St. Pierre and Johnathan Hale Video

http://m.scoopsandiego.com/mobile/news/local/san-diego-lgbt-weekly-asks-does-carl-demaio-s-life/article_1f16803c-a143-11e1-8f27-0019bb30f31a.html

Does Carl DeMaio’s life partner - a former felon - have unfettered access to councilman’s chambers, confidential city documents? DeMaio’s life partner, Hale, has changed his name twice. He was previously known as Johnathan Hackett and Johnathan Wyckoff. Under his other aliases, Hale is reported to carry a criminal record that includes charges of felony burglary (one of which he was convicted for), battery, as well as several restraining orders.

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jamespreston1987 Aug. 16, 2012 @ 10:40 p.m.


Ken St. Pierre and Johnathan Hale Video

http://m.scoopsandiego.com/mobile/news/local/san-diego-lgbt-weekly-asks-does-carl-demaio-s-life/article_1f16803c-a143-11e1-8f27-0019bb30f31a.html

Does Carl DeMaio’s life partner - a former felon - have unfettered access to councilman’s chambers, confidential city documents? DeMaio’s life partner, Hale, has changed his name twice. He was previously known as Johnathan Hackett and Johnathan Wyckoff. Under his other aliases, Hale is reported to carry a criminal record that includes charges of felony burglary (one of which he was convicted for), battery, as well as several restraining orders.

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