Bart Mendoza 5 a.m., Dec. 8
Oscar Autopsy: John Goodman > Daniel Day Lewis
At least as far as Best Picture is concerned.
I know what you're thinking. You're thinking that what last year's Best Picture, The Artist, has in common with this year's best picture, Argo, is that they both start with A, and Academy voters are so damn rigid that they watch their films in alphabetical order, and so damn old that they rarely make it past the first film before taking a three-month nap, so hello, Hollywood, haul out those A titles.
No, no. You're thinking that both The Artist and Argo are movies about Hollywood and the making of movies, and there's nothing Hollywood loves better than itself, so it's time to dust off that script about the making of Ishtar and start practicing your speech!
But here's what you should be thinking: John Goodman has appeared in the last two Best Picture winners. That puts him one up on three-time Best Actor winner Daniel Day Lewis, whose only nod came in '82, for Gandhi. Since then? Pure poison. Take a look:
1986: A Room With a View: nominated, lost. 1989: My Left Foot: nominated, lost. 1993: In the Name of the Father: nominated, lost. 2002: Gangs of New York: nominated, lost. 2007: There Will Be Blood: nominted, lost. 2013: Lincoln: nominated, lost.